THISTLE ADVISORY | MARKET INSIGHT

Wisconsin Market Insight

Tribes, the land-based market, politics and market size. Online sports betting is legal on paper under Act 247 but not live, so today's market is the tribal casinos. October 2026.

Summary

Online is not live; land-based is the market today. Act 247 (signed Apr 9, 2026) lets the 11 tribes offer statewide mobile sports betting once compacts are renegotiated and Interior approves them. There is no model compact and no launch date, and a constitutional lawsuit is pending. Meanwhile the tribes already run a $1.376B net-win casino business, and casinos in 6 nations already take retail sports bets.
$1.376B
Tribal Class III net win, FY2025
Up about 5% on FY2024 ($1.312B). Fiscal year ends Sep 30.
$72.8M
Paid to the state, FY2025
Plus $10.4M to local governments.
171
Sports wagering stations and kiosks
Up from 108 in FY2023. Six nations have live retail sportsbooks.
11
Compacted tribes
Ho-Chunk, Menominee and Stockbridge-Munsee are authorized but not open. Red Cliff and Bad River have no sports amendment.
64%
Voters opposed to legal online betting
Marquette poll, Feb 2026: 64% oppose, 34% favor.
21-12
State Senate vote on AB 601
Mar 17, 2026. The Assembly passed it by voice vote in February.

Where each tribe is based

Casino points geocoded from OpenStreetMap, so approximate.

Milwaukee 564kMadison 285kGreen Bay 106kKenosha 100kRacine 78kAppleton 75kEau Claire 72kWaukesha 71kOshkosh 67kJanesville 66kLa Crosse 51kSheboygan 50kFond du Lac 44kWausau 40kSuperior 27k28888866341011157779Lake MichiganSimplified outline, casino points approximate
  1. 1Red Cliff (Legendary Waters)
  2. 2Bad River (Bad River Casino, Odanah)
  3. 3Lac Courte Oreilles (Sevenwinds, Hayward)
  4. 4Lac du Flambeau (Lake of the Torches)
  5. 5Sokaogon / Mole Lake (Mole Lake Casino)
  6. 6Forest County Potawatomi (Milwaukee, Carter)
  7. 7St. Croix (Turtle Lake, Danbury, Hertel)
  8. 8Ho-Chunk (Black River Falls, Nekoosa, Tomah, Dells, Wittenberg)
  9. 9Stockbridge-Munsee (North Star Mohican, Bowler)
  10. 10Menominee (Casino Resort, Keshena)
  11. 11Oneida (Oneida Casino, Green Bay area)

Live retail sportsbook (Sep 30, 2025) Authorized, not open No sports-betting amendment. Green circles: 15 largest cities, sized by 2024 population.

The 11 tribes at a glance

#TribeTribal HQCasinos and devices (Oct 2024)Retail sportsbookPlatformSports amendment effectiveNamed in WILL suit
1Red CliffRed CliffLegendary Waters, 241 devicesNon/aNoneYes
2Bad RiverOdanahBad River Casino, 361 devicesNon/aNoneYes
3Lac Courte OreillesHaywardSevenwinds 612 devices and 10 tables, plus Grindstone Creek (counts not available)Yes: Champion's Sports BookNot found (IC360 provides integrity monitoring)Sep 2022No
4Lac du FlambeauLac du FlambeauLake of the Torches, 793 devices, 8 tablesYes: DraftKings, retail since Aug 2024DraftKingsApr 2024No
5Sokaogon (Mole Lake)CrandonMole Lake Casino, 308 devicesYes: Gametime, since May 2023Kambi (inferred)Nov 2022Yes
6Forest County PotawatomiCrandon (casino in Milwaukee)Milwaukee 2,609 devices and 43 tables; Carter 416 devices and 7 tablesYes: Potawatomi Sportsbook, opened 2024KambiApr 2022Yes
7St. CroixWebsterTurtle Lake 1,063 devices and 17 tables; Danbury 480; Hertel 233Yes: The Book, since Apr 2022IGTApr 2022No
8Ho-ChunkBlack River FallsDells 955, Wittenberg 676, Black River Falls 669, Nekoosa 400, Tomah 97Authorized, not openn/aJan 2025Yes
9Stockbridge-MunseeBowlerNorth Star Mohican, 1,110 devices, 10 tablesAuthorized, not openn/aOct 2024Yes
10MenomineeKeshenaCasino Resort 662 devices and 6 tables, plus a mini casino (counts not listed)Authorized, not openn/aSep 2022Yes
11OneidaOneidaMain 915, West Mason 725, IMAC 403, Travel Center 111 devicesYes: first in the state, live late 2021, plus mobile inside the reservationIGTAug 2021Yes

Sources: Division of Gaming FY2025 report, Federal Register compact notices, LFB Oct 2024 device table, WILL suit coverage. Sportsbook status is as of Sep 30, 2025 and was not rechecked for newer openings. The state counts 23 Class III facilities, though its location list shows 24 with Grindstone Creek.

Population around each casino

Residents within 25 and 50 straight-line miles of each main casino. Census 2020 block-group counts; catchments overlap, so do not add them.

TribeMain casinoWithin 25 miWithin 50 miHome county (2024 est.)Nearest city (2024 est.)Devices per 100k within 50 mi (tribe / all operators)
Forest County PotawatomiMilwaukee1,592,8362,673,021 (432k in Illinois)Milwaukee 924,740Milwaukee 563,531113 / 98
OneidaOneida Casino, Green Bay area537,087981,501Brown 273,909Green Bay 106,311229 / 413
Ho-ChunkBlack River Falls42,240519,554 (38k in Minnesota)Jackson 21,027Black River Falls 3,563538 / 224
Ho-ChunkWisconsin Dells134,474880,637 (includes Madison)SaukBaraboo arean/a
St. CroixTurtle Lake92,649686,413 (330k in Minnesota)Barron 46,810Turtle Lake 1,036259 / 259
MenomineeKeshena71,377837,826Menominee 4,286Keshena (no estimate)83 / 651
Stockbridge-MunseeNorth Star Mohican, Bowler69,966743,434Shawano 41,299Bowler 309149 / 733
SokaogonMole Lake37,731233,302Forest 9,506Crandon 1,737132 / 1,373
Lac Courte OreillesSevenwinds, Hayward25,659139,262Sawyer 18,835Hayward 2,587440 / 951
Lac du FlambeauLake of the Torches27,909112,875Vilas 23,948Lac du Flambeau (no estimate)703 / 703
Bad RiverOdanah31,14159,629Ashland 16,196Odanah (no estimate)605 / 1,010
Red CliffLegendary Waters17,32857,700Bayfield 16,838Bayfield 592418 / 1,043
What the population says. Potawatomi has 2.7M people within 50 miles and the fewest devices per head (113 per 100k), while Oneida has about 1M within 50 miles. The Northwoods casinos (Lac du Flambeau, Lac Courte Oreilles, Bad River, Red Cliff, Sokaogon) each draw on under 250,000 residents, so tourists and drive-in trade matter more there. Residents only: visitors are not counted.
City2024 populationNearest tribal casinoStraight-line miles
Chicago (Illinois)2,721,308Potawatomi, Milwaukee83.4
Milwaukee563,531Potawatomi, Milwaukee2.8
Minneapolis (Minnesota)428,579St. Croix Turtle Lake62.2
St. Paul (Minnesota)307,465St. Croix Turtle Lake55.9
Madison285,300Ho-Chunk Dells35.1
Green Bay106,311Oneida7.3
Kenosha99,578Potawatomi, Milwaukee30.8
Racine78,057Potawatomi, Milwaukee21.9
Appleton75,344Oneida19.7
Eau Claire72,331Ho-Chunk Black River Falls49.3
Waukesha71,461Potawatomi, Milwaukee15.7
Oshkosh67,242Oneida39.0
Janesville66,428Potawatomi, Milwaukee59.6
La Crosse51,049Ho-Chunk Black River Falls41.6
Sheboygan49,624Potawatomi, Milwaukee50.2
Fond du Lac44,469Oneida52.3
Wausau40,262Ho-Chunk Wittenberg24.7
Superior26,620St. Croix Danbury49.1

Method: Census 2020 block-group counts within the radius by population-weighted centroid, straight-line miles (not drive time, and lake water is counted), so edges are approximate. Oneida is the Green Bay area casino and Ho-Chunk's Madison Class II site has no coordinates. Devices per 100k use all of a tribe's devices over the main casino's 50-mile population, and the second figure counts every tribal casino within 50 miles. Four Oneida satellites and one Menominee-area casino are placed by proxy. City figures are Census Vintage 2024 estimates.

The land-based market today

Class III net win, tribal casinos

$1.27BFY2023
$1.31BFY2024
$1.38BFY2025
MeasureFY2023FY2024FY2025
Class III net win$1.27B (+17%)$1.312B (+3%)About $1.376B (+about 5%)
Handle (all Class III, mostly slots)$18.13B$18.19BAbout $18.4B (read from a chart)
Payments to the stateAbout $65.9MAbout $66.3M$72.78M
Payments to local governments$6.8M$8.1M$10.4M
Slots / table games13,981 / 14614,009 / 15713,846 / 167
Sports stations and kiosks108n/a171
What is not public. Compacts allow release of data only in aggregate. There is no official split by tribe, casino, game type or sports handle and revenue, so any per-casino revenue is an estimate.

Biggest properties

Ranked by gaming devices (LFB, Oct 2024).

RankPropertyTribeDevicesTablesRevenue anchor
1Potawatomi Hotel & Casino, MilwaukeeForest County Potawatomi2,60943About $430M net gambling wins, FY to Jun 2024 (secondary source, medium confidence)
2North Star Mohican Casino ResortStockbridge-Munsee1,11010n/a
3St. Croix Casino Turtle LakeSt. Croix1,06317n/a
4Ho-Chunk Gaming Wisconsin DellsHo-Chunk95518n/a
5Oneida Casino (Main)Oneida91520Oneida gaming division FY2025: $284.7M gross profit, $145.7M net profit (gross profit is not state-defined net win)
6Lake of the Torches Resort CasinoLac du Flambeau7938n/a
7Oneida Casino West Mason StreetOneida7250n/a
8Ho-Chunk Gaming WittenbergHo-Chunk6760n/a
9Ho-Chunk Gaming Black River FallsHo-Chunk6694n/a
10Menominee Casino ResortMenominee6626n/a

Potawatomi Milwaukee and Oneida together are roughly half of statewide net win, with the rest spread across about nine nations.

Loyalty and CRM: who runs what

TribeLoyalty programNotes
OneidaPlayers ClubMarketing, Player Development and Promotions sit in the Gaming division. The sportsbook app requires a Players Club account. FY2026 technology goals list an enterprise CRM, data and analytics project, plus a call center.
Forest County PotawatomiPlayer's Club / Reward CardKambi runs the sportsbook. Named the Packers' official sportsbook partner on Jun 2, 2026.
Ho-ChunkRewards Club (6 casinos)Sports amendment executed, no sportsbook yet.
MenomineeWoodland Rewards ClubSports amendment executed, no sportsbook yet.
St. CroixPlayers ClubIGT runs the sportsbook.
Lac du FlambeauLake ClubDraftKings sportsbook.
OthersNot foundPrograms for Stockbridge-Munsee, Lac Courte Oreilles, Sokaogon, Bad River and Red Cliff were not found.

CRM and loyalty vendors by casino are not publicly disclosed for any tribe. The state vendor list (Oct 7, 2026) includes Player Performance Group, certified for marketing analysis.

Players in the Wisconsin market

GroupPlayerRole or position
Tribal operatorsThe 11 compacted tribes (table above)Operate all Class III gaming. Only tribes can offer online sports betting under Act 247.
Platform and techIGTSportsbook platform for Oneida (retail and in-reservation mobile) and St. Croix.
Platform and techKambiPlatform for Potawatomi. Likely also Sokaogon's Gametime (inferred).
Platform and techDraftKingsRetail sportsbook partner of Lac du Flambeau. Member of the Sports Betting Alliance.
Platform and techIC360 (Integrity Compliance 360)Integrity monitoring partner of Sevenwinds, not the sportsbook platform.
TeamsGreen Bay Packers, Milwaukee BrewersPotawatomi Sportsbook is the Packers' official sportsbook partner (Jun 2, 2026) and presenting partner of Brewers.TV. Team support for the bill itself rests on a tribal attorney's testimony (unverified).
Commercial operatorsFanDuel, BetMGM, Fanatics, bet365No Wisconsin tribal partnership found. Members of the Sports Betting Alliance.
Trade groupsSports Betting AllianceOpposes the 60% tribal revenue-share structure, calls it a monopoly, and has no alternative bill.
Trade groupsAmerican Gaming AssociationOne of three Seventh Circuit appellants in the prediction-market case with Wisconsin.
Trade groupsIndian Gaming AssociationHas followed the Wisconsin fight closely (search summary only). No Wisconsin-specific tribal gaming association statement was found.
Prediction marketsKalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, Coinbase, Crypto.comSued by AG Kaul on Apr 23, 2026 over sports event contracts.
Prediction marketsNovigA Novig v. Kaul complaint (W.D. Wis., Aug 2026) appeared in search results. Not opened (unverified).
Offshore and sweepstakesNo named operatorNo credibly sourced Wisconsin-specific operator was found.
RegulatorsWisconsin Division of GamingOversees compacts and publishes tribal revenue.
RegulatorsInterior / BIAMust approve compacts. Has 45 days once one is submitted.
RegulatorsCFTC and U.S. DOJSued Wisconsin on Apr 28, 2026 claiming exclusive federal jurisdiction over event contracts (search summaries only).
GovernmentGov. Tony Evers (D)Signed Act 247. Insists on fairness among all 11 tribes and pushes a joint-venture model.
GovernmentAG Josh KaulSuing the prediction markets.
LegislatureRep. Tyler August, Sen. Howard MarkleinCarried AB 601. Majority Leader LeMahieu voted yes. Speaker Vos personally opposes online gambling but supported the vote.
OppositionWILL, Brown County Taxpayers Association, Citizens Defending LibertyFiled the Aug 5, 2026 constitutional suit in Waukesha County. Scheduling conference Nov 9.
OppositionWisconsin Family ActionLobbied against AB 601.

Who is for and against

SideWhoWhy
ForTribes broadly (Potawatomi and Ho-Chunk testified in favor, Red Cliff's chair backed it), Gov. Evers, the Senate majority (21 votes)Tribal-run mobile betting with revenue staying in state. Tensions remain over large tribes dominating, and Lac du Flambeau wants a fair process.
AgainstSports Betting Alliance, WILL and its co-plaintiffs, Wisconsin Family Action, 12 senators (9 Republicans, 3 Democrats)Revenue-share terms, constitutionality (the suit argues the law grants privileges based on race), and objections to expanded gambling.
MixedAssembly Speaker VosPersonally opposes online gambling but supported the vote.
PublicWisconsin voters64% oppose and 34% favor legalizing online sports betting (Marquette, Feb 2026).
Prediction marketsAG Kaul and Oneida versus Kalshi and the CFTCKaul sued the platforms and Oneida backs the state's action. The CFTC and DOJ say federal law gives them exclusive jurisdiction.

Market size (Wisconsin only)

Residents
5,972,787 (Census, Jul 1, 2025)
Adults 21+
About 4.51M (calculated from the Census age file)
Published sports numbers
None. Tribal data is released only in aggregate, so every sports dollar figure is an estimate.
Third-party estimate
Tax Foundation: $432M a year, a hypothetical built on demographics (Jan 2026)
State benchmark, 2025HandleRevenue per adult 21+Hold
Illinois$15.53B$23614.6%
Iowa (FY Jul 2025 to Jun 2026)$2.87B$1209.9%
Indiana (search summary)$5.72B$1119.9%
Michigan$5.54B$8912.4%
Wisconsin (Tax Foundation hypothetical)n/a$96n/a

Per-adult figures are reported revenue divided by Census adults 21+, and state revenue definitions differ.

Bear, base and bull case

~$203MTAM~$101MSAMLow (bear)~$426MTAM~$298MSAMBase~$676MTAM~$575MSAMHigh (bull)Tax Foundation estimate $432M
TAM range, bear to bull~$203M~$426M base~$676M

Share of adults who bet

Bear 15% · Base 21% · Bull 25%

Revenue per bettor / yr

Bear $300 · Base $450 · Bull $600

Tribal share at maturity

Bear 50% · Base 70% · Bull 85%

The 21% base uses the AGA's national adult figure, which includes illegal books. Every other input is an assumption. The base case lands close to the Tax Foundation's $432M. TAM figures are an assumption-based model, not published research.

Dates to watch

DateEvent
Tue Nov 3General election. Governor: David Crowley (D) with Sarah Godlewski versus Tom Tiffany (R) with David Varnam. Attorney general: Josh Kaul (D) versus Eric Toney (R). All 99 Assembly seats and the odd-numbered half of the Senate are up. This decides who inherits the compact talks. Sabato rates the governor race Leans Democratic.
Nov 3 ballot questionsThree constitutional amendments (partial-veto limits, no closing of worship in emergencies, race and sex preferences). None is gaming-related as described (state election notice not opened). Compacts need no public vote.
Mon Nov 9Waukesha County scheduling conference in the WILL lawsuit. Kalshi's response is also due at the U.S. Supreme Court (No. 26-299, national).
Thu Nov 12Reply briefs due in the consolidated Seventh Circuit appeals (U.S./CFTC, Kalshi and the American Gaming Association versus Wisconsin). No argument date set. Decides whether the state can act against prediction markets (secondary source).
Nov 18CFTC comment deadline (national)
Mon Jan 4, 2027New governor takes office and the new Legislature convenes. Evers leaves, so any compact not finished by then passes to the new governor.
No dateOnce the governor and a tribe agree a compact, Interior has 45 days to act or it is deemed approved, and it takes effect on Federal Register publication. No compact had been submitted as of Oct 28.
No dateKenosha Menominee/Hard Rock casino: land-into-trust decision, then the governor's concurrence. Sources conflict between late 2026 and mid to late 2027 (unverified).

What current and future governors have said

WhoPartyWhat they have saidSource and date
Gov. Tony Evers (outgoing)DSigned Act 247. "What I will not accept is a plan that fractures this opportunity into unequal pieces." Strongly supports a joint venture with each tribe contributing and benefiting in equal shares.His signing statement, Apr 9, 2026
EversDCompact talks began Jun 1, described as "just the first of many conversations." No update since, and nothing found on finishing compacts before Jan 4.Legal Sports Report, Jun 12; WSN, Sep 29
David Crowley (D nominee)DNo stated position on tribal betting, compacts or Act 247. The Lines says he has "not taken a stance" and is believed to prioritize tribal interests, which is the outlet's inference, not his words. He wants to ban state officials from trading on prediction markets, an ethics rule only.The Lines, Aug 12; WPR, Sep 14
Tom Tiffany (R nominee)R"I do not support an expansion of gaming in Wisconsin." On Act 247: "I would have to review the details," but he has generally opposed expanding gaming.Online Gambling Daily, Jun 12
Lt. Gov. nominees Godlewski (D) and Varnam (R)D / RNothing found.n/a
AG Josh KaulDSued Kalshi, Robinhood, Coinbase, Polymarket and Crypto.com on Apr 23. Said the suits are unrelated to Act 247.WPR, Apr 24
Eric Toney (R, AG nominee)RNothing verified on prediction markets, Act 247 or tribal gaming.n/a

Legislature: the Senate is 18-15 Republican and Democrats need two flips. The Assembly is 54-45 Republican and Democrats need a net five. Speaker Vos and Majority Leader LeMahieu are both retiring. We found no credible reporting tying legislative control to the compacts or the WILL suit, since compacts are between the governor and the tribes. Ratings for the legislature are unverified. Our read, not reported: if Evers does not finish compacts by Jan 4, the next governor's stance sets the pace, and Tiffany has said he opposes expanding gaming.

What it means for IGT and Thistle

The model. Thistle Gaming joins IGT's Wisconsin bids as IGT's marketing services partner. IGT keeps the platform; Thistle adds the player marketing layer on top of IGT PlaySports and casino loyalty data, delivered as part of one IGT offer to the tribe.

CRM and retention

Segmented audiences, lifecycle and reactivation programs, and campaign calendars run on the operator's own player data.

VIP management

VIP alerts and host call lists so high-value players are contacted before they lapse.

BI and reporting

Daily, weekly and monthly reporting on handle, GGR, hold and player activity, with year-on-year comparisons.

Acquisition

Email and promotional content, offer design and launch campaigns, ready for statewide mobile if it goes live.

Why it matters for IGT in Wisconsin

  1. Strengthens bids where IGT is already in place. IGT powers the retail and in-reservation mobile sportsbook at Oneida and the sportsbook at St. Croix. A bundled marketing layer deepens those relationships.
  2. Matches stated buyer demand. Oneida's FY2026 technology goals include an enterprise CRM, data and analytics project and a call center; its sportsbook app already ties betting to the Players Club record.
  3. Ready for authorized but unopened tribes. Ho-Chunk (Rewards Club across 6 casinos, about 2,800 devices), Menominee and Stockbridge-Munsee have sports amendments but no sportsbook yet. A platform-plus-marketing offer is in place from day one.
  4. Value today, upside later. Online betting under Act 247 still needs compacts, Interior approval and the outcome of the pending lawsuit. Marketing services earn their keep in the $1.376B land-based market now and scale if statewide tribal mobile launches.
  5. Fits a joint-venture outcome. Gov. Evers favors a joint venture across all 11 tribes; a single IGT-plus-Thistle offer can serve one tribe or a consortium.

Source notes